Thursday, June 3, 2010

Unlawful Internet Gaming Enforcement Act of 2006 (UIGEA)

Enforcement of UIGEA will officially begin on Tuesday 6/1/2010, & will carry a wide range of speculation throughout the online poker community; this speculation will range from having no major impact on most players to complete lockdown of all U.S. accounts. This act does not make online poker illegal or playing poker an illegal activity, yet is it designed to block transfers from US financial institutions to offshore gaming websites. This is just another way in which big government attempts to micromanage our daily lives.

Thursday, May 20, 2010

Final Nightly Donk-a-ment @ Harrah's New Orleans Bayou Poker Challange

So far 2010 has been a rather dismal year, but not much different from 2009. I decided to make my way on down to Harrah’s New Orleans for their last nightly event of the Bayou Poker Challenge. The buy-in was $ 235 with 7k in starting chips & 20 minute levels.

After late registration ended, we now have a whopping fifteen (15) players show up for the tournament & we are playing for a total prize pool of $ 2,970 which will pay the top 3 places. We began the tournament playing three 5-handed tables with dead stacks of money posting blinds, until we got down to 12 handed play. The first significant hand that I get involved in is in level 3 where the blinds are 75/150, I am under the gun (utg) & look down at JJ. I raise to 375 & pick up 4 callers. The flop comes out K-4-8 rainbow. I immediately decide to make a continuation bet of about 2/3 the pot which was about 1,000, not only for value, but to see where I am at with one over on the board. Two players fold around to the villain in late position who has been getting hit in the face with the deck & he decides to flat my C-bet. The turn is a harmless 9 & once again I bet about 2/3 of the pot. The villain decides to tank for a few minutes but then eventually folds.

A few orbits later we make it down to the final 9 players & the tournament director has us redraw for seat positions to begin play after the break 9 handed. The first hand back from the break the blinds are at 150/300 & I have about 15k out of a 7k starting stack remaining behind. I look down at JJ & from under the gun I decide to raise to about 1200. I make a slightly larger raise since I have an ulta-aggressive donkey to my immediate left with a healthy stack. The donkey inst-calls & the rest of the action folds to the small blind who also decides to flat my pre-flop raise so we see a flop of K-J-3 three handed. What a gin flop! I flopped middle set & I know by change in my opponents posture & physical mannerisms that he had definitely caught a piece of that flop. So instead of trying to trap, I decide to lead out for about 2/3 the pot which is instantly re-raised by the villain to my left which forces the sb out of the pot. I decide to flat, keep him pot committed on the turn, & shove the river. The turn comes out a blank & I do decide to make another C-bet. My opponent doesn’t blink. At this point I am putting him on top pair with a good kicker. I can’t remember what the river came, but I did shove, the villain snap called, I announced that I had a set, turned over my JJ & the villain angrily threw his cards at the dealer then went on life tilt. It was a great feeling to get the money in with the best hand & not be out drawn.

I was now the chip leader & throughout the rest of the tournament it was not a lead I would ever relinquish. Several orbits later in level 8 the blinds were 300/600/75. From middle position facing at least two limpers I look down at QQ. I take my time before announcing raise, which I did to 2,150. The same guy who I had crushed several orbits later immediately announces “All In”. I ask the dealer for a count. The dealer lets me know that he has approximately 10k left & I have about 35k behind. I announce “I call”. The villain sheepishly turns over 55 & is in complete disgust when I turn over QQ. The board bricks, neither of us improve & he is eliminated in 9th place. Several eliminations later we were down to 4 handed play. This was the first time I had actually gotten my money in bad during the entire tournament. I had about 60k behind & it was going to cost me 12k at blind levels of 600/1200/200. After I had raised from the small blind the gentlemen who had shoved has been falling asleep in between hands. We were AIPF. My opponent tables A6x vs my A4x. The flop comes 4-2-2 with a brick on the turn & the river. I congratulate him & decided to do a $100 save for fourth place.

We are now down to 3 handed play & after so graciously putting the save in we decide to chop. At this point if we play it out I only win 100 more than if we end it right there. So I did, even though I had about 65% of the chips in play. The win was good for $ 1,330 & I did tip the staff $ 130 which was 10% of my winnings. It felt good to win & I am sure this won’t be my last.

Tuesday, May 18, 2010

Harrah's New Orleans Bayou Poker Challage 5k Main Event

Today marks day 1 of Harrah’s New Orleans Bayou Poker Challenge WSOP Circuit 5k Main Event. The event attracted 156 players, some earning entry via satellite & with the remaining entrants buying in directly for the $ 5,150 entry fee. Today the players will complete 9 levels of play & play will conclude at 2 am CST.

Tournament director Steve Frezer & his staff have done a phenomenal job in providing player friendly structures which allow players to methodically chip up instead of turning into what would resemble an online shove fest in the late stages of the tournament where players have no option but to re-raise all-in or fold pre-flop because the blind to chip ratio is so high. Players will begin with 22k in tournament chips which is approximately 440 big blinds deep with 75 minute levels. The top 18 finishers, which is just over 10% of the field, will be competing for the massive prize pool of $ 750,000. The winner of this event will receive a gold ring & an entry into the WSOP Main Event this summer in Las Vegas Nevada.

Today I had my first chance to talk to Dwyte Pilgrim who is quite arguably the hottest player on the live tournament poker circuit. Currently ranked 3rd in the Card Player Magazine Player of the Year standings, Dwyte is always 24 hours from greatness. One opportunity after another arises in his world. It’s a shot in the dark. He has an unbelievable work ethic & is obviously loaded with natural talent. Look for him to make some noise this summer as he continues his run toward poker immortality.

For most of the day I sat on the rail behind a table that included Dan “Thunder” Walsh, TK Miles, & Eric “Lafayette” Cloutier. It didn’t take long before a few big hands developed within the early stages of this tournament. Fresh off the first break within a few hands in the early stages of level 3, the blinds are at 75/150 & Dan Walsh raises to 600. Small blind & big blind fold & the Green Bay donkey in seat 7 flats Walsh’s pre-flop raise. They see a flop of A-K-2 rainbow. The donkey leads out & ships 5k into a pot of only approximately 1,425. Dan snap calls all-in & tables 22 for a set of deuces vs the villains AQ which was top pair with a Q kicker. The board ends up running out A-K-2-J-A. Dan Walsh doubles up. The rest of the table including TK Miles was pretty quiet for the most part with the exception of Eric Cloutier. Eric is quite a colorful character full of energy & brings a lot of action to the table. Look for these three to make it relatively deep into this event.

Mid-way through level four, I decide to go grab a bite to eat & scope out the cash game action in the poker room. During tournament events the cash game action just gets to be completely insane. People are dying to give their money away. It is definitely a grinder’s paradise.

I would also like to thank Mr. Nolan Dalla for all of his advice & insight. He is truly a great man & it was an honor to meet him. I surely hope most of this makes sense as this is my first blog on a tournament in which I was not involved in. This makes me respect guys such as Nolan Dalla & Bryan Heptinstall who tirelessly provide the coverage for these events year around.

Friday, May 14, 2010

Mini-FTOPS Event 22

I played in a 6 max no-limit hold-em tournament today which yielded 8,858 runners when late registration ended. These online tournaments are just insane with the number of players they produce as well as the prize pools. The super stack tournaments have great structures starting with 250 bb’s & longer than usual levels, which eventually allows you to be quite patient to chip up methodically instead of creating a shove-fest after the first several hours. Today’s tournament was a mini-ftops event with a $22 dollar buy-in. The prize pool was guaranteed at $ 300,000, which even with the slightly top heavy pay outs, a deep run would yield a nice return on investment. A final table appearance is guaranteed at least $ 4,200 for 6th place & 1st is paying slightly above $ 32,000. The biggest task ahead is attempting to fade a donkey infested field & invest somewhere in the range of 4 hours to at least to make the money. This is usually quite a daunting task, but with the structure being so deep it is quite attainable.

Obviously playing 6 max will dramatically change the initial table dynamics in a tournament as compared to full ring. Starting with fewer players initially will leave more unknown cards in the deck thus making drawing hands less difficult to play as compared to pocket pairs. In the early stages of these types of tournaments, I attempt to set my table image as well as try to gather as much information on the players as I can. I generally play very tight aggressive which ultimately allows me to make moves in critical positions that help me methodically chip up, kind of a small ball approach.

First significant hand comes in level 12. The blinds are 140/280/25 & I look down at KK in the big blind. Sitting at an aggressive table I guess you can’t ask for a better spot to pick to increase your stack. With an aggressive Russian behind me, I am almost certain to be facing a pre-flop raise here & I intend on flatting it unless we are in a multi-way pot. I have 7,460 behind & I get my wish when the ultra aggressive Russian donkey on the button (OTB) raises the pot to 840 with 9,360 behind. The small blind folds, I flat his pre-flop raise & we see a flop of 8-7-3 rainbow. This is a great flop for me & out of position with the over-pair I decide to check with the intention of re-raising if the villain took a stab at the pot, he decides to check behind. At this point I am putting my opponent on something like AK-AJ or maybe a medium pair. The turn comes a 6 of spades, which puts two spades on the board. I can’t check any longer & decide to lead out for 750 into a pot of 1995, which is just under a third of the pot. The villain decides to flat the bet on the turn seemingly looking for what could be at best a 3 outer for the ace or maybe only a 2 outer to hit his under-pair. The river produces a J of diamonds, another blank in my mind & at this point we have a pretty sizable pot of 3495 in which I decide to make a value bet on the river of 1400. If my read is somewhat close, I think that this bet will pay me off & take this donkey to value town. The villain thinks for a moment then folds & I take down a pretty nice pot of just under 3500 which at this stage is just over 14 big blinds. I now have just over 9,600 which is equivalent to just over 34 big blinds.

I continue along with a healthy stack & continue to pick up the blinds & antes a little bit over once an orbit as well as take in a few small pots. Then a few levels later I reach a pivotal point in the tournament for me in level 14. The blinds are 200/400/50 with levels lasting 12 minutes. I have 10,700 behind & on the button look down at QJxx. This is not particularly a monster but versus this tables range it looks like pocket aces. The action folds around to me on the button I make it 950 to go. This is a play that I believe works more than 50% of the time that will take down blinds & antes provided that the big blind does not wake up with a hand. Very rarely will you face a 3 bet in this situation at this level of play. The small blind folds & the big blind quickly flats my raise. We see a flop of K-J-7 rainbow. The villain pre-flop had about 7,000 after posting his bb. Out of position he checks the flop to me & I decide to check behind to maintain control of the pot. The turn comes out a 6 of diamonds, putting two diamonds out there. I decide to lead out for 1,300 & the villain insta-ships his remaining stack of almost 7,000. Now I know this guy could just be spewing his stack away with something very marginal like K8 or could have had me crushed with something like two pair or QQ/AK. I think for a second,& then fold because I am not at the stage to risk that many chips on such a marginal hand.

I still have a healthy stack of 8,450 & will live to fight another day. So the blind levels are increasing & I feel comfortable with my style of play so far. Then I go absolutely card dead & several huge aggressive euro donkeys’ get moved to the table, with the largest stack to my immediate left. Every time I raised I got 4x over the top 3 betted & would eventually lead to my ultimate demise. My stack wasn’t large enough to 4 bet him, so I would continue to get blinded down until I was AIPF on my big blind in level 17. The blinds were 400/800/100. I am in the big blind, AIPF with AJxx. The table folds around to the small blind & he calls with 87xx. The great news is I have the best hand with ace high & we both have spades. The board runs out Q-5-2-8-K, & I am out in 1614th place. I know I made a few mistakes, but this is just getting to the point of being so sick that I cannot even explain. I know I will live to fight another day, but I have to get back to playing live poker. This internet shit is going to cause me to die from either a stroke or heart-attack. I will keep my head up though & keep grinding.

Sunday, May 2, 2010

FTOPS # 28

It all started as a dream. I played in my first FTOPS event today on Full Tilt Poker. For some reason there is a psychological difference in respect toward money when you play online compared to live. But this all started off of a 150 FTP point 24 man sit-n-go that lead to the 3500 FTP point with 43 seats guaranteed. It was a turbo format with starting chip stacks @ 1500. This satellite started with 643 runners & I managed to finish in the top 43 earning me a seat in the 240+16 FTOPS Event # 28. 6-max no-limit hold-em, $1,000,000 guaranteed, final table guaranteed $ 12,500 with $ 191,000 to ship it. 4997 runners & pays top 492 with a $ 40 KO bounty.

First break @ 30/60 85 hands the first hour. First key mistake came in hand number 51 where I pick up KQss in the hijack position 6 max. UTG leads out for a 3x raise blinds @ 20/40 for 120. I re-raise in position to limit the completion and I get flatted by the original raiser. Flop comes 8-7-K with 2 hearts. He checks & I decide to bet 375 which is a little more than half of the pot of 620. Once again I think either he is flatting with at-least one heart in his hand looking to make some fireworks on the turn. I’m pretty comfortable that he has at-least a big Ace (A) like AQ or AJ, or a small pair that missed. Turn comes 6 hearts, which obviously slows down the action & he decides to check. To continue to maintain pot control in position I decide to check behind with the intention of making a value bet on the river if checked to me. Instead my opponent fails to check & leads out for 1000 which was approximately a pot size bet which should have set off the warning signs. The cash game mentality cost me some valuable chips early. I tank & eventually call . My opponent tables AK for top pair top kicker with the Ace of hearts.

This hand will not leave my memory for a while. In the cut-off I pick up 66, 166 hands deep into the tournament blinds @ 140/280/50. I bet the pot roughly 730. Button folds, SB & BB immediately shove. I have no choice but to fold. I watch the small blind table A9x vs AKx in the BB. I observe as the board of Q-6-4-9-9 is laid out. I feel so sick to my stomach, even-though I made the correct long-term play.

I have about 4400 behind, blinds at 170/340/25 in the BB I pick up A10x. It folds around to the CO that decides to raise me all-in. I snap call & he tables A3x. Looks like a good spot for a double up? Worse case a chop? Not even close when the board ran out 4-K-9-J-3. You have got to be fucking kidding me, out in 1634/4997. I played roughly for 2 hours & 45 minutes; booked 1 KO for $ 40; saw about 9% of my flops, took down about 85% of my pots won either pre or post flop. I played about as well as I could, just a little unfortunate for the deck to bail out my opponent with the ungodly 3 outer to unceremoniously end my run at greatness.

Wednesday, March 31, 2010

Intangible Attributes

"You cannot survive without that intangible quality we call heart. The mark of a top player is not how much he wins when he is winning but how he handles his losses. If you win for thirty days in a row, that makes no difference if on the thirty-first you have a bad night, go crazy, and throw it all away." Bobby Baldwin

Individuality. It’s what makes us unique. Other than physical characteristics, there are intangible qualities that exist among many individuals because in the end we are all human. I have identified several of these intangible attributes as distinct weaknesses that refrain players from being consistently profitable. If you've played poker seriously for any amount of time, you've probably hit a downswing & downswings can be completely demoralizing. Downswings cause frustration & frustration develops into tilt that will cause you to adjust to a less than optimal strategy that will eventually lead to mistakes. Downswings are inevitable, but what separates the great players from the good players is their ability to adapt during these unavoidably brutal episodes.

If we strip poker down to its core, it’s essentially a constant emotional struggle for superiority based upon mathematical computations & interpreting the significance of intrinsically incomplete information. Thoughts determine actions & actions determine results, although past results have no direct relationship on future outcomes. I believe that poker psychology is the defining characteristic that is the ultimate difference between breaking even & profitability. Truth can be our most deceptive psychological asset, while lack of emotional control over an extended period of time can only lead to downswings & lack of profitability in our win rate.

Living in the shadows of ADHD & Bipolar disorder, it becomes increasingly more difficult to control the emotions in turn which control me. Impulsivity is merely a lack of consciousness which I happen to experience quite often, but can often lead to the never-ending pursuit of satisfaction for attaining material possessions or exaggerated sense of self-importance. Fear & negativity can only lead to further detrimental behavior that embodies an extreme lack of self-control. The fact of the matter is that it is imperative for me to recognize the situation & react accordingly. The only way for me to take control of my emotions is to develop self-discipline & make rational decisions to rise above the adversity that was created by my unconscious thought process.

Sunday, March 14, 2010

Ambiguities of online poker

“It's hard work. Gambling. Playing poker. Don't let anyone tell you different. Think about what it's like sitting at a poker table with people whose only goal is to cut your throat, take your money, and leave you out back talking to yourself about what went wrong inside. That probably sounds harsh. But that's the way it is at the poker table. If you don't believe me, then you're the lamb that's going off to the slaughter.” Stu Ungar

Over the last few months I have been primarily playing online and all I have to say is that the results are far less than spectacular. I utilize HUD software to analyze my sessions and break them down into meaningful information. This helps me decipher opponent’s tendencies as well as my strengths and weaknesses. Now I understand that poker is a game of adaptability, but the absence of a physical human being sitting at a table across from you & the inability to physically view your surroundings is mentally exhausting. Full Tilt’s introduction of Rush Poker has become the next poker epidemic which is similar to playing bingo on crack. The lack of table dynamics & post flop play make it a quite attractive venture. Unlike a standard ring game, rush poker consists of large pool of players & every hand is played at a different table. The beauty of this is if the hand that’s dealt is less than desirable, the quick fold option can be selected & the player is moved to a new table before the flop of the previous hand is even dealt. This is also great for players with ADHD & the lack of patience.

There are only two things certain in life, death & taxes. In the United States, it’s more like pwned by the Chinese. Instead of practicing irresponsible fiscal policy, maybe the United States government should consider the economic benefits of legalizing & regulating online poker. In its current state I have feelings of uncertainty toward online poker. There are too many critical aspects that leave online poker vulnerable to the next Bernard Madoff “Ponzi “scheme. “A Ponzi scheme is a fraudulent investment operation that pays returns to investors from either their own money or money paid by subsequent investors, rather than from any actual profit. The scheme usually entices new investors by offering returns other investments cannot guarantee, in the form of short-term returns that are either abnormally high or unusually consistent. The perpetuation of the returns requires an ever-increasing flow of money from investors to keep the scheme going.” This is actually conceivable considering that the online poker market continues to grow at an astronomical rate.

When it comes to computers & technology I am usually skeptical, because they can be compromised. Unlike human beings, morals do not exist in technology. Trust me I am a firm believer in that history tends to repeats itself. Take prohibition in the early 1900’s for example. From 1920-1933 the manufacture, sale & transportation of intoxicating liquors was illegal in the United States. Organized crime recognized this imbalance of supply & demand & the realization of a profitable business venture on the black market took place virtually overnight. Although online poker & prohibition do not necessarily parallel identically, the moral of this comparison is to identify the potential weaknesses of the online poker industry. Online poker is considered to be illegal in the United States via the unlawful internet gaming enforcement act of 2006 (UIGEA), but the industry continues to grow exponentially reaching approximately $7 billion dollars in annual revenues, with the United States consisting of approximately more than 1/3 of the global market.

We are in the midst of an economic crisis. Although illegal, online poker continues to grow exponentially. Identity theft & white collar crimes are highly prevalent in today’s society. Now do you see the parallels for comparison? After conducting some research, I found it interesting that legal ambiguities diminish accountability. Instead it tends to protect the financial interests of online commerce instead of the reason for its existence, the customer base. With that being said, why would online poker sites not want to protect its customer base? This question could create an interesting debate. Most sites do not offer disconnection protection, unless it had to specifically correlate to site server failure & there is a point of disconnect where the site legally separates accountability for any losses incurred. This occurs when private hole card information is transmitted from the server to the player’s personal computer. Once received it is then decoded by the software & made visible in a publicly readable format. This is the most evident situation of susceptibility against potential collusion or deception. It is conceivable that malicious software could gain access to a personal computer, thus gaining access to private hole card information & transmitting it to a third party. If you believe that this is not even a logical possibility, then you must have forgotten that MIT still exists. Playing poker is a tough way to make an easy living, but someone has to do it.

Don't forget to listen to WTF Poker hosted by Jack McAdoo, Danielle Adams-Benham & Hannah Elisabeth only on www.pokerpodradio.com. Putting the broads back in broadcasting to go. Remember there is no substitute for profanity. Enjoy!

Monday, March 8, 2010

What is variance & how does it apply to poker?

What is variance and how does it apply to poker? Variance simply measures uncertainty & in poker many decisions are based upon incomplete information. For example in a full ring game prior to the flop being revealed, 17 of the 19 cards dealt are unknown. This includes the burn card. So the only information that is available is to look for specific betting patterns, psychological tendencies, physical mannerisms, stack size & position. “For every action there is a complete and opposite reaction.” (Isaac Newton) This statement is not only true concerning the laws of physics in relation to motion, but also applies to many situations that occur in poker. This is why understanding table dynamics is imperative. When seated at a new table it is crucial to determine the table dynamics. Identify which players are aggressive or passive by their pre-flop actions and how many hands they play. Becoming aware of betting patterns & the range of hands that players may play post flop as well as how they tend to play them are fundamental aspects in reading players. After the table dynamics are read, your table image can manipulate the dynamics of the table and ability to change gears will determine long term success.

In probability theory and statistics, variance is the expected value of the standard deviation squared of that variable from its mean. Statistics can prove that the luck factor exists on a short term basis, but in volume, skill & the math will prevail. Kind of like the tale of the tortoise & the hare. It’s not a race. It’s a marathon. Slowly but methodically the tortoise (skill) will triumph. Expected value (EV) & variance are directly proportional to the volume of hands played. EV is the expected outcome on average for a certain action used consistently over an extended period of time. Online it seems that bigger swings of variance will be experienced due to the volume of hands played per hour.

Poker is a game of conscientious decision making, emotional control & making the correct plays from a positional/mathematical standpoint over a long period of time. Avoiding or managing tilt is crucial to becoming a better player. Tilt is a state of psychological perplexity or aggravation in which a player implements a detrimental strategy, typically resulting in the player becoming overly-aggressive. A technique that is generally used to manage tilt is to disregard the unfavorable outcomes of pots, especially those that are statistically uncommon; they are the products of variance, not bad strategy.

The psychological adjustments that are necessary to make the transition from primarily playing in live cash games to tournament play online can be extremely difficult. I prefer to play deep stack no limit hold-em. Normally in a live cash game my stop loss limit is set at 3 buy-ins which is roughly 450bb or $2250 for 2-5 no limit. This strategy requires a bankroll of approximately 30 buy-ins or 23k. & having an adequate bankroll is essential to longevity in playing poker. Well I had to learn that lesson the hard way. I built up a starting bankroll of approximately 10k & built it up as high as 80k but never fell below 60k when it came to poker. Now spending night after night in strip clubs, high priced hotels & restaurants, I finally reached a breaking point that leaves me where I am today, felted. When you stay up from days on end, party like there is no tomorrow & of course have a little assistance from self medicating it has shown me that there is no room for that type of reckless lifestyle if you want to be on top of your game. Now I am still trying to make the transition to online poker & I am finding out that the potential is there I just need a proper bankroll and put in more volume to create an accurate assessment of my success or failure. Until then I will just have to continue the daily grind .

Monday, February 8, 2010

Laissez les bon temps rouler in the Big Easy

Pigs have flown, HELL has frozen over, the New Orleans Saints have WON the Super Bowl!! I thought I would never see the day. Against all odds, what seemed to be the most improbable journey. The New Orleans Saints are now enshrined in the immortality of sports history, & no one can take that away from us.

Sunday, January 24, 2010

Online Poker & The WPT Biloxi

Lets get things started off here by talking a little bit about the online poker scene and the many accusations of online poker being "rigged". Now if you have played no limit hold-em long enough, you realize that variance is a natural factor of the game, and the transition from being primarily a live cash game player to the online landscape is not as easy as most may think. There are so many variables that are critical when playing in a live cash game or tournament that you need to apply to the online landscape. First attribute to exploit when first sitting down would need to be table dynamics. Each individual at the table has a unique dynamic that dictates the style of play. First you should assess the dynamics of the table and then change gears if necessary to adjust your play that will ultimately give you an advantage. Secondly to be a winning poker player you must possess intelligence and the ability to compute various bits of information before logical decisions can be made. Exploit your ability to demonstrate emotional control to avoid going on tilt and self destructing before your very eyes. Try to keep an even keel. Now there are definitely valid arguments that players have obtained an unfair advantage online. Just look back at the Ultimate Bet & Absolute Poker scandals. Other than players participating in collusion, I am lacking the technical computer skills as far as what it would take to infiltrate the servers for these sites and create a software program that can identify your opponents hole cards. So what are the poker sites doing to prevent these types of scandals from occurring? Why does the gaming commission not adopt more stringent policies for reoccurring audits for all approved software? So now with that said let me know what you think and maybe we can continue this subject in a later blog.

So now lets discuss one of the hot topics concerning online poker, HR 2267. This is a bill that is sponsored by Representative Barney Frank that should go to vote in the House within the next few weeks. Frank has taken the stance that ultimately there would be a 42 billion dollar tax increase with in the next 10 years. Well What does that do for poker players. Only the ability to make easier deposits? Well I am not a Lawyer by any means, but if I am not mistaken there are no specific federal or state laws that prohibit online gambling. But from a tax stand point I do have a little more insight and experience. First it all begins whether the gambling income was a source of primary income or by way of a hobby. As a hobby the income is exempt from self employment taxes of 15.3%, but is still fully taxable as other income. Also you can only claim the amount of losses equal to the amount of income, and you can not net your expenses against your income directly, but if you meet the requirements for itemizing your expenses you would be able to itemize qualifying expenses. As a professional gambler you can claim your gambling income and offset your losses against your gambling income. There are several distinct factors though that the IRS requires in order to file as a professional gambler. One of the primary advantages to filing as a professional gambler would be that all incurred expenses would flow through a schedule C and be netted directly against reported income. This is extremely helpful when it comes time to calculate the federal taxes owed. If you are unsure whether or not you qualify to file as a professional gambler or should report the income as a hobby. I highly suggest finding a qualified CPA and make sure you keep thorough records and retain receipts.

Now to the WPT Event, The Southern Poker Championship which is being held at the Beau Rivage Resort & Casino in Biloxi Mississippi. Recently, like maybe of ummm last night. Daniel Negreanu comments on the structure of the 10k No Limit Championship event. It was the most recent topic that Negreanu had discussed in his blog. I do certainly admire Daniel from every standpoint and this statement is in no way criticizing him for his opinion, as the first amendment entitles him to one. But when one of the worlds most respected poker players has an opinion, I assume that the masses tend to listen.

Well I'm not sure if any of this makes sense as I have not taken my medicine in a few days and shit is just kind of spaced out. Please feel free to post your comments or suggestions as I am open to constructive criticism. Enjoy!



Wednesday, January 20, 2010

The Blonde Bombshell of Poker

So I am talking to Kai Landry on facebook, commenting on his status. Kai sez New Orleans Saints 33 & Vikings 20. Well considering how close Kai was on the last game I decide to tell him I will bet the farm on his prediction. Kai sez take out a 2nd & 3rd mortgage, sell all my belongings, take a loan out on my soul, and SHOVE! Sounds like great advice. So I ask where can I take a loan out on my soul? A few minutes later a woman named Hannah Elisabeth comments on the post suggesting that I Google "Dr. Faustus". So before I continue with the search for my answer, I take a second to take a look at her profile and first reaction is wow, what a Cougar! This woman is not only gorgeous, but she is a gifted writer, has a tremendous personality, & is a phenomenal poker player.

So lets take a second & talk about her desire to write/blog. If you are interested in a unique perspective that comes with a warning label, then this woman is for you.

WARNING: Enter Blog site at your own risk! Author will not be held responsible for spikes in blood pressure caused by reactions to what you have read. Seek immediate medical attention for any reactions lasting more than four hours. I think I have read something similar to this before, but it was the warning label on a box of Viagra. Anyways.....

Talk about a sense of humor...good times. Her mission is to provide an in-depth look into poker, politics, polemics, & pasta primavera. Her opinion on these subjects may be controversial to the views of others, but that's what makes us individuals. No doubt that after reading a few of her entries you will have an insatiable appetite for more. She has a tremendous personality and is definitely not your average woman. Lets review again shall we...she is hot, plays poker....blond hair....large breasts...great smile...oh did I mention personality?

So lets talk a little about her poker skills. She first started playing about 20 years ago in Southern California. Limit was the game of choice for most of the worlds best players. She started out playing for smaller stakes and gradually moved up in limits. Now that she lives in Las Vegas and in the 21st Century. She has access to brick and mortar rooms as well as the online landscape. She has many tournament and cash credentials to her name; most recently 2008 Main Event feature table at the World Series of Poker. Even though she didn't cash, it is great publicity. On the other hand she did chop the Caesar's Mega-stack for $31K, which is a pretty sweet score. This year she will undoubtedly be the next future ex wife of Norman Chad. That is an honor in itself.

Mark my words on this one. This woman will be the next big name woman in poker. Check out her website at http://hannahqueenofhearts.com/. As my boy Rod Ryan always says "AMF" it stands for adios mother fuckers! Enjoy.

Ross

Tuesday, January 12, 2010

The IP and The Beau Rivage

Oscar Levant once said "There's a fine line between genius and insanity. I have erased this line."

I believe that this quote describes my last 36 hours that I was awake. Its Sunday morning and I wake up around 10am. I decide to venture over to the IP in Biloxi to play in there nightly $200.00 dollar buy in no limit holdem event. Things went well, I made the final table, and I made it heads up with Will Souther aka The Poker Monkey. The rest is history, I finished second by the way. We finish at roughly midnight and immediately thereafter I decide to head down to the poker room and play a little 1-2 no limit cash game. After playing for several hours and leaving slightly ahead. I make my way to the Beau Rivage to get into a slightly larger game. I sit in a 2-5 no limit which is my game of choice. But I do have to say that it isnt out of the ordinary for me to buy in a 2-5 no limit game for a minimum of $1200.00 or so, but this game was stacked slightly deeper. The guy in the 10 seat is from Tampa Florida and has roughly 20k behind. Also remember we are in Mississippi and cash is allowed on the table. Average stack at the table is somewhere in the neighborhood of #2500.00. So I play for an hour or so and end up cashing out for about a $300.00 dollar winner. I decide to go eat some breakfast and by this time it is about 4am. After eating breakfast I head back to the poker room and sit in another 2-5 no limit cash game. Roughly the same as the table before, deep stacked and aggressive. I did have some nice highlights during that session that made sitting in that game well worth while. I am in late position with pocket 7's, roughly $1300.00 behind and I am facing a three bet with two callers. The raise was to $25 and eventually we would go 5 handed into the flop. The flop came 2-7-5 rainbow, which is a pretty wet flop. The original raiser utg+1 decides to bet the pot which is roughly $130. We loose 2 players and the action returns to me. I decide to re-raise to $350.00 in this position to eliminate any draws that may be lingering and to entice someone that may have a pair think that I am just making a move to take down the pot. We lose the guy behind me and the original raiser snap shoves all in and I immediately call. I flip over pocket 7's for top set. He decides not to flip his cards over. The turn sealed the deal when the case 7 hit. With him being at best a 19:1 underdog, he instantly mucked his had and left the table. It was a pretty good feeling. Just a few hands later the table begins to break and we are moved to start a new game.

After moving tables there are 5 new players added to the mix. Still playing 2-5 no limit and in the top 33% of stacks at the table. It is about 9am. Ive been up for at least 24 hours straight. So the game begins and things seem a little tight. After several hours of play at this table, I feel that I have a pretty solid read on the players that surround me. Once again I get involved in a big hand. I am on the button with around $2000.00 behind. I look at KQ of diamonds. There is no raise ahead of me so I make what seemed to be the standard button open raise for that table to $25.00. After a few folds, I get 3 bet to $75 with one caller. The pre-flop pot is at about $275.00. So I decide to flat the 3 bet. Now 3 to the flop and the flop comes 2-J-10 with 2 diamonds. So I have two overs to the board, king high flush draw, open ended straight and straight flush draws. Original raiser now decides to lead out for $500.00 and gets a call. I decide with the size of this pot and the plethora of outs that I was priced in. So now we are around just shy of $1800.00 in the pot. The turn comes a Q of spades. Well that now given me a pair in addition to all of my draws. At this point with a Q high board with straight and flush possibilities that the original raiser has to have one of two hands. Pocket aces or pocket kings. It would be tough to think that he was just on the ace high flush draw but it was a possibility. So after the turn the original raiser decides to shove. The player in between us folds and now I have a decision to make. I have a little over 25% of my stack invested in the pot of what I had when the hand began, which gives me at least 33% equity in the pot. So I go into the tank for a bit and start calculating my pot odds and probabilities of hitting one of those outs. Well I figured if this guy has aces, I was a 4:1 underdog pre-flop, after the flop I am just on the downside of a coin flip, after the turn I am now around a 3:2 underdog. So basically I think to myself that any of the 9 diamonds, any 9,K,A,or Q would book me a winner. So that is 9 diamonds + 2 Kings + 2 Queens + 2 A's= 15 outs. So my math entering the turn was (15 x 3 + 9)% which comes down to 54% which is basically a coin flip even though at the table if I thought this was the senario that I was in that I would be a slight underdog. When the turn hit, I went from being a slight favorite to having a realistic 33% chance of hitting one of my outs. The math on the turn to improve on the river was 15 x 3= 45. 45 rounds up to 50 and I add the first digit of the rounded number to get my percentage. So 55% of the time, I am going to improve on the river in this situation. So I decide to make the call and he leaves his cards face down. The river is dealt and its a FUCKING QUEEN! Holy shit!!! He did flip over pocket aces and was dealt the bad news. One time for the kid. So now the adrenaline is definitely rushing and before my chips are all raked in and stacked I look at KK in the cutoff. I am thinking to myself you have got to be fucking kidding me. So after several limpers, I decide to make it $80.00 to go. All the limpers fold except the gentlemen (And I use that term very LOOSELY) two seats to my right. He just decides to flat my raise. So the flop comes out I dont even remember what, just a bunch of undercards and rainbow. Well the gentleman decides to lead out for about $250.00, I snap call, because I figured that it may have been a continuation bet. The turn reveals a Q. He then makes it $500.00 to go. I have to go into the tank again and replay the last minute or so in my mind. Is it really possible that I am going up against aces, a set of queens or another set of some kind? I felt that it was unlikely that I was going up against a set unless it was queens or I was up against aces. So I just flat the bet on the turn. The river was dealt a blank and the board is not paired. Howard the Duck then makes it $1,000 to go and after a short while I am thinking to myself that this guy is going to have to show me a set of queens or aces because I am not laying this down. So I call and flip over my kings. The son of bitch slow rolled pocket aces. He was such a cold hearted asshole that I wanted to beat him, but I politely said nice hand sir and went on about my business. After that the day went completely down the drain and what seems like every time I was a favorite in a hand, I was destined to get out drawn. I ended up taking one on the chin, but that's poker. Tomorrow will be another day and today was just another lesson learned. It is what it is and I will just have to keep grinding it out.

Friday, January 1, 2010

Thoughts on investing: A look into similarities in the stock martket and on the felt

Whether making investments in the stock market or at the poker table, it is essential to have a reliable set of rules or a system that has been tested in real time, you should follow these rules in order to preserve capital and cut losses. The investor must also consider the odds of their stock making a gain or a loss. Price objectives and targets should be a large part of every investors system. With proper money management and calculated expectancy, you should aim to trade only in situations where the odds are in your favor. Another major component that works its way into investing is psychology and/or human emotion. Stocks are made up of human character traits, similar to the type of people that own them. Some stocks are risky and volatile while other stocks are conservative and predictable. The market repeats cycles and specific chart patterns because humans repeat their actions and character tendencies.

The same is true in investing; I can cut a loss short and wait for the next opportunity without risking the farm if a realizable loss is recognized. If the cards are good and my probabilities of winning the hand are high, I can call the bet or raise the bet. The connection I am trying to make with investing in the stock market and playing poker relates directly to cutting losses short (capital preservation and money management) and my odds of winning the game (in the stock market this could be called expectancy).The no-limit aspect allows your upside potential to be unlimited which carries through to investing. If you cut losses short and ride your winner, the up-side potential in investing can also be unlimited. In the real world of investing in the stock market, you should always invest in the most optimal situations and ideas. The ensuing gain or loss will prove or disprove your prior theory. Again the most important component of both ventures is cutting losses short and moving on without becoming emotionally involved.

All investors and poker players bring emotions to the table, some control them better than others. The bottom line is to understand your surroundings. Implement an optimal strategy that maximizes your success & minimizes your risk. Tomorrow is a new day and there will always be an opportunity, because they are always around the corner. 2010 is a new year and I wish you much success in all of you future investing endeavors.